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Diagnostic accuracy of cystoscopic biopsy for tumour grade in outpatients with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder and the risk factors of upgrading |
Junjie Fana,b,Hua Liangc,Jinhai Fana,Lei Lia,Guanjun Zhangc,Xinqi Peia,Tao Yanga,Dalin Hea,Kaijie Wua,*( )
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a Department of Urology, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China b Department of Urology, Baoji Center Hospital, Baoji, China c Department of Pathology, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China |
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Abstract Objective: To assess the concordance of tumour grade in specimens obtained from diagnostic cystoscopic biopsy and transurethral resection of bladder tumour (TURBT) and explore the risk factors of upgrading. Methods: The medical records of 205 outpatients who underwent diagnostic cystoscopic biopsy before initial TURBT were retrospectively reviewed. Comparative analysis of the tumour grade of biopsy and operation specimens was performed. Tumour grade changing from low-grade to high-grade with or without variant histology was defined as upgrading. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the risk factors of upgrading. Results: For the 205 patients, the concordance of tumour grade between specimens obtained from biopsy and operation was 0.639. The concordance for patients who were preoperatively diagnosed with low-grade and high-grade was 0.504 and 0.912, respectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that older age, tumour multifocality, high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and low lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) were significantly associated with upgrading (odds ratio ranging from 0.412 to 4.364). The area under the curve of the different multivariate models was improved from 0.752 to 0.821, and decision curve analysis demonstrated a high net benefit when NLR, LMR, and PLR were added. Conclusion: Diagnostic cystoscopic biopsy may not accurately represent the true grade of primary bladder cancer, especially for outpatients with low-grade bladder cancer. Moreover, older age, tumour multifocality, high NLR, PLR, and low LMR are risk factors of upgrading, and systemic inflammatory markers improve the predictive ability.
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Received: 07 July 2020
Available online: 20 January 2023
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Corresponding Authors:
Kaijie Wu
E-mail: kaijie_wu@163.com
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Cystoscopic biopsy (tumour grade) | Postoperative tumour grade, n | Total, n | Non-tumour | Papillary lesions | PUNLMP | LG | HG | HG with glandular differentiation | HG with squamous differentiation | Sarcoma | Malignant melanoma | LG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 137 | HG | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | Total | 1 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 123 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 205 |
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Concordance of tumour grade between cystoscopic biopsy and TURBT.
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Characteristic | Cohort (n=134a) | Group A (n=69) | Group B (n=65) | p-Value | Age, median (range), year | 63 (25-84) | 59 (25-82) | 65 (28-84) | 0.001 | Sex, n (%) | 0.547 | Female | 28 (20.9) | 13 (18.8) | 15 (23.1) | | Male | 106 (79.1) | 56 (81.2) | 50 (76.9) | | Smoking status, n (%) | 0.499 | Never | 70 (52.2) | 38 (55.1) | 32 (49.2) | | Ever/current | 64 (47.8) | 31 (44.9) | 33 (50.8) | | Operative methods, n (%) | 0.549 | Bipolar TURBT | 98 (73.1) | 52 (75.4) | 46 (70.8) | | KTP laser | 36 (26.9) | 17 (24.6) | 19 (29.2) | | Tumour number, n (%) | 0.001 | Single | 76 (56.7) | 50 (72.5) | 26 (40.0) | | Multiple | 58 (43.2) | 19 (27.5) | 39 (60.0) | | Tumour diameter, median (range), cm | 2.00 (0.50-4.00) | 1.50 (0.50-3.80) | 2.00 (0.50-4.00) | 0.286 | NLR, n (%) | 0.004 | <3.73 | 115 (85.8) | 65 (94.2) | 50 (76.9) | | ≥3.73 | 19 (14.2) | 4 (5.8) | 15 (23.1) | | PLR, n (%) | 0.001 | <123.94 | 79 (59.0) | 50 (72.5) | 29 (44.6) | | ≥123.94 | 55 (41.0) | 19 (27.5) | 36 (55.4) | | LMR, n (%) | 0.001 | <4.96 | 50 (37.3) | 16 (23.2) | 34 (52.3) | | ≥4.96 | 84 (62.7) | 53 (76.9) | 31 (47.7) | |
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Characteristics of patients who were preoperatively diagnosed with LG and the comparison between Group A (tumour grade unchanged) and Group B (tumour upgrading).
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Characteristic | Univariable | Multivariable | OR | 95% CI | p-Value | OR | 95% CI | p-Value | Age (continuous) | 1.056 | 1.020-1.093 | 0.002 | 1.049 | 1.005-1.095 | 0.027 | Sex (female vs. male) | 0.774 | 0.336-1.783 | 0.547 | 0.967 | 0.291-3.213 | 0.957 | Smoking status (never vs. ever/current) | 1.264 | 0.641-2.493 | 0.499 | 1.595 | 0.640-3.977 | 0.316 | Operative methods (bipolar TURBT vs. KTP laser) | 1.263 | 0.588-2.716 | 0.549 | 2.385 | 0.868-6.551 | 0.092 | Tumour number (single vs. multiple) | 3.947 | 1.912-8.148 | 0.001 | 3.757 | 1.583-8.919 | 0.003 | Tumour diameter (continuous) | 1.290 | 0.768-2.169 | 0.336 | 1.677 | 0.860-3.271 | 0.129 | NLR (<3.73 vs. ≥3.73) | 4.875 | 1.524-15.596 | 0.008 | 4.364 | 1.068-17.833 | 0.040 | PLR (<123.94 vs. ≥123.94) | 3.267 | 1.590-6.710 | 0.001 | 3.578 | 1.474-8.685 | 0.005 | LMR (<4.96 vs. ≥4.96) | 0.275 | 0.131-0.578 | 0.001 | 0.412 | 0.172-0.990 | 0.047 |
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Univariable and multivariate analyses for the association between Group A (tumour grade unchanged) and Group B (tumour upgrading).
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Model | AUC | Improvement | p-Value | Base modela | 0.752 | | | Base model + NLR | 0.777 | 0.025 | 0.227 | Base model + PLR | 0.790 | 0.038 | 0.173 | Base model + LMR | 0.788 | 0.036 | 0.122 | Base model + NLR + PLR + LMR | 0.821 | 0.069 | 0.036 |
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Improvement in the predictive accuracy of models when adding systemic inflammatory markers to the base model.
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Decision curve analysis of the predictive model. Lateral axis line: assumes no patients have upgrading. Grey line: assumes all patients have upgrading. Red line: the base model with age, sex, smoking status, operative methods, tumour diameter, and tumour number. Blue line: the base model adding NLR, PLR, and LMR. The graph gives the expected net benefit per patient relative to the base model with age, sex, smoking status, operative methods, tumour diameter, and tumour number (“treat none”). The unit is the benefit associated with one upgraded patient evaluated with the base model adding NLR, PLR, and LMR. LMR, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio.
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A nomogram to predict the tumour upgrading of LG diagnosed by cystoscopic biopsy before first-time TURBT. Directions: age, tumour number, NLR, PLR, and LMR positive for an individual patient. A line is drawn upwards to the number of points in each category. The points are totalled, and then a line is drawn downwards to find the probability of upgrading before the first TURBT in patients who were diagnosed with LG by preoperative cystoscopic biopsy. When the total points are over 0.9 or below 0.1 of the probability, this indicates extremely high (over 0.9) or low risk (below 0.1), respectively. LG, low-grade; LMR, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio; TURBT, transurethral resection of bladder tumour.
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Calibration curves of nomogram performance. The bias-corrected calibration plots showed only a limited departure from the ideal predictions. The mean absolute error was 0.03.
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