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Analysis of the urethral stricture score and patient-related factors as predictors of outcomes following oral mucosal graft urethroplasty |
Nikita Shrivastava,Rahul Jena*( ),Deepak Prakash Bhirud,Mahendra Singh,Gautam Ram Choudhary,Arjun Singh Sandhu
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Department of Urology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Jodhpur, Rajasthan, India |
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Abstract Objective: The complexity of urethral strictures can predict outcomes following urethroplasty. The previously described urethral stricture score (U score) considered only stricture-related factors to grade the complexity of urethral strictures and to predict recurrence post urethroplasty, but not considered patient-related factors for the same. We aimed to study the correlation of both of these factors to the outcomes of oral mucosal graft urethroplasty. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed data of 101 patients who underwent oral mucosal graft urethroplasty in our institute with a minimum follow-up of 6 months. Baseline patient characteristics and stricture-related parameters were noted. The U score was calculated for all patients which consisted of the length, location, number, and etiology of stricture. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to determine significant risk factors of recurrence. Results: The mean follow-up of patients was 15 months. Recurrence was seen in 28 patients and the mean time for detection of recurrence was 8 months of follow-up. The Charlson Comorbidity Index, history of previous intervention, length of strictures, location of strictures, number of strictures, history of smoking, and etiology were independent predictors of recurrence following urethroplasty. Based on these parameters, we formulated the modified U score (MU score). The scores ranged from 0 to 6 and a score of >2 was found to be predictive of recurrence. On comparing receiver operating characteristic curves for both scores by the DeLong test, the MU score had larger area under the curve than the U score. Conclusion: The MU scoring system is the first of its kind attempt taking into consideration both patient- and stricture-related factors to predict recurrence following oral mucosal graft urethroplasty.
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Received: 04 November 2022
Available online: 20 July 2024
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Corresponding Authors:
*E-mail address: jena.rahul@gmail.com (R. Jena).
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Variable | Value | Age, year | 49.42±16.11 | Body mass index, kg/m2 | 23.56±2.94 | Length of stricture, cm | 4.61±3.45 | Number of strictures | 1.43±0.83 | Preoperative maximum flow rate, mL/s | 3.87±1.59 | IPSS | 23.62±4.88 | Etiology | | Idiopathic | 54 (53.47) | Instrumentation | 33 (32.67) | Traumatic | 9 (8.91) | Inflammatory | 5 (4.95) | Comorbidity | | Diabetes mellitus | 7 (6.93) | Hypertension | 22 (21.78) | Chronic kidney disease | 4 (3.96) | Coronary artery disease | 5 (4.95) | Deep vein thrombosis | 2 (1.98) | Others | 5 (4.95) | Charlson Comorbidity Index | | 0 | 46 (45.54) | 1 | 20 (19.80) | >1 | 35 (34.65) | Addictions | | Smoking | 13 (12.87) | Tobacco chewing | 13 (12.87) | Previous intervention | | Dilatation | 27 (26.73) | Direct visual internal urethrotomy | 18 (17.82) | Urethroplasty | 1 (0.99) | None | 55 (54.46) | Location | | Bulbar | 58 (57.43) | Penile | 7 (6.93) | Bulbar and penile | 36 (35.64) | Type of urethroplasty | | Dorsal onlay | 88 (87.13) | Dorsolateral onlay | 9 (8.91) | Dorsal inlay | 4 (3.96) | Oral graft used | | Buccal | 87 (86.14) | Labial | 3 (2.97) | Lingual | 11 (10.89) |
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Distribution of demographic and clinical characteristics of patients (n=101).
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Management and follow-up protocol for patients undergoing urethroplasty. RGU, retrograde urethrogram
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Kaplan-Meier survival analysis curve to assess disease-free survival.
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Variable | β-coefficient | Standard error | p-Value | HR (95% CI) | Length of stricture, cm | | | | | ≤5 | Referencea | | | 1 | >5 | 2.15 | 0.41 | <0.01 | 8.59 (3.84-19.22) | Number of stricture | | | | | ≤2 | Referencea | | | 1 | >2 | 2.1 | 0.43 | <0.01 | 8.12 (3.52-18.72) | Location of stricture | | | | | Bulbar | Referencea | | | 1 | Penile | ?11.35 | 448.74 | 0.98 | 0 | Bulbar and penile | 2.67 | 0.55 | <0.01 | 14.37 (4.94-41.85) | Etiology | | | | | Idiopathic | Referencea | | | 1 | Instrumentation | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 1.39 (0.58-3.32) | Trauma | 0.91 | 0.59 | 0.12 | 2.47 (0.79-7.78) | Inflammatory | 1.47 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 4.36 (1.18-16.04) | Comorbidity | 1.48 | 0.39 | <0.01 | 4.39 (2.02-9.54) | Smoking | 1.15 | 0.42 | <0.01 | 3.17 (1.39-7.21) | Tobacco chewing | ?0.17 | 0.61 | 0.78 | 0.84 (0.25-2.80) | Previous intervention | | | | | None | Referencea | | | 1 | Dilatations | 3.92 | 1.03 | <0.01 | 50.31 (6.67-379.22) | OIU | 3.47 | 1.05 | <0.01 | 32.24 (4.07-254.86) | Urethroplasty | 4.04 | 1.42 | <0.01 | 57.25 (3.56-919.88) | BMI | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1.12 (0.98-1.27) | UFM | ?0.04 | 0.12 | 0.74 | 0.95 (0.74-1.23) | IPSS | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 1.05 (0.98-1.13) | Type of urethroplasty | | | | | Dorsal inlay | Referencea | | | 1 | Dorsal onlay | 0.15 | 1.02 | 0.87 | 1.17 (0.15-8.74) | Dorsolateral | 0.86 | 1.12 | 0.44 | 2.36 (0.26-21.45) |
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Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression to find out significant risk factors of recurrence.
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Variable | β-coefficient | Standard error | p-Value | HR (95% CI) | Length of stricture, cm | | | | | ≤5 | Referencea | | | 1 | >5 | 1.15 | 0.5 | 0.02 | 3.18 (1.18-8.58) | Number of stricture | | | | | ≤2 | Referencea | | | 1 | >2 | 0.24 | 0.6 | 0.68 | 1.27 (0.39-4.16) | Location of stricture | | | | | Bulbar | Referencea | | | 1 | Bulbar and penile | 1.07 | 0.73 | 0.14 | 2.92 (0.68-12.41) | Etiology | | | | | Idiopathic | Referencea | | | 1 | Instrumentation | ?0.33 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.71 (0.28-1.78) | Trauma | 0.09 | 0.81 | 0.9 | 1.10 (0.22-5.44) | Inflammatory | 0.49 | 0.73 | 0.5 | 1.64 (0.38-6.95) | Comorbidity | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.32 | 1.64 (0.61-4.42) | Smoking | 0.02 | 0.46 | 0.95 | 1.02 (0.41-2.55) | Previous intervention | | | | | None | Referencea | | | 1 | Dilatation | 3.12 | 1.1 | <0.01 | 22.68 (2.58-199.24) | OIU | 2.79 | 1.1 | 0.01 | 16.28 (1.87-141.41) | Urethroplasty | 2.15 | 1.6 | 0.17 | 8.66 (0.37-202.01) |
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Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression to find out significant risk factors of recurrence.
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Variable | Score | Length of stricture (>5 cm) | 1 | Etiology | | Inflammatory | 0.5 | Charlson Comorbidity Index (>1) | 0.5 | Previous intervention | | Dilatation | 3 | OIU | 2 | Urethroplasty | 2 | Location of stricture | | Bulbar and penile | 1 |
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Modified urethral scoring system for recurrence.
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Comparison of area under the curve of the MU score and U score for predicting recurrence. U score, urethral stricture score; MU score, modified U score.
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Parameter | MU score | U score | AUC (SE; 95% CI) | 0.95 (0.02; 0.89-0.98) | 0.91 (0.03; 0.83-0.96) | p-Value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | Cut-off | >2 | >6 | Sensitivity (95% CI), % | 96.43 (81.70-99.95) | 78.57 (59.00-91.71) | Specificity (95% CI), % | 82.19 (71.53-90.20) | 87.67 (77.91-94.23) | PPV (95% CI), % | 67.51 (50.90-81.44) | 71.00 (52.00-85.83) | NPV (95% CI), % | 98.40 (91.20-100.00) | 91.40 (82.33-96.80) | Diagnostic accuracy, % | 86.14 | 85.15 |
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Comparison between the MU score and U score for predicting recurrence.
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